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After a volatile week in energies, stocks and softs look for a bit of settling in these markets as crude approaches critical a

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MoundReport.com’s Trade of the Month

 

March 25th, 2008

Live Cattle Long Strangle

Trade Description:

Buy one April Live Cattle 92 call and buy one April Live Cattle 89 put for a total strangle price of 1.00 ($400) or better.  Using a typical JMTG commission, total cost of trade* would be $490 ($400 entry cost plus $45 per round turn in commissions and fees*)

 

Trade Explanation:

Cattle is setting up a technical breakout and is exposed to the upcoming grain acreage report’s anticipated volatility.  Positioning ahead of the report sets up a potential price chop in the cattle market. 

 

**Chart courtesy of Gecko Software’s TracknTrade

 

Risk Scenarios:
Max risk is the total cost of trade* and occurs at expiration with the market between 92.00 and 89.00.  Loss is reduced at expiration by $40 per .10 above 92.00 to 93.25 (breakeven to the upside*) or below 89.00 to 87.75 (breakeven to the downside*)

 

Profit Scenarios:

Max profit is theoretically unlimited and occurs at expiration at $40 per .10 above 93.25 (breakeven to the upside*) or below 87.75 (breakeven to the downside*).  It is recommended that you have multiple spreads to allow for a scale out exit of the winning side of the trade.  Pull 50% of the winning side of the trade at 2.10 ($840), 25% at 3.10 ($1,240) and the rest as per your personal aggressiveness.  If the market whips back the other way after the first scale out at 2.10 then look to pull half of that side at 1.10 ($440) and the rest as per your personal aggressiveness.

*Disclaimer: There is risk of loss in all commodities trading.  Please consult a James Mound Trading Group Broker before you trade for the first time.  Losses can exceed your account size and/or margin requirements.  Commodities trading can be extremely risky and is not for everyone.  Some option strategies have unlimited risk.  Educate yourself on the risks and rewards of such investing prior to trading.  James Mound Trading Group, or anyone associated with JMTG or moundreport.com, do not guarantee profits or pre-determined loss points, and are not held monetarily responsible for the trading losses of others (clients or otherwise).  Past results are by no means indicative of potential future returns.  Information provided are compiled by sources believed to be reliable.  JMTG or its principals assume no responsibility for any errors or omissions as the information may not be complete or events may have been cancelled or rescheduled.  Any copy, reprint, broadcast or distribution of this report of any kind is prohibited without the express written consent of James Mound Trading Group LLC.  Total cost, or cost/credit of trade (as referred to in the trade above), includes the cost/credit of entry, commissions and fees.  Typical commission is an approximate mean of commission rates amongst JMTG customers, but can be more or less depending upon the individual account/customer, services rendered, account size, trading volume, etc.  Commissions at JMTG range from $3 to $27.50 per side depending upon the market traded and specific commission rate charged to the client.  Fees range from $2.88 to $7.50 per side depending upon the market traded. 

Disclaimer: Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The risk of loss exists in futures and options trading.
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